Mingdom Alpha
Market RegimeRisk Onbudget: Selective · breadth: Mixed · as of 2026-07-21SPY↑ UptrendQQQ→ PullbackIWM↑ UptrendRSP↑ Uptrend
Market Regime
Risk Onbudget: Selective · breadth: Mixed · as of 2026-07-21
SPY↑ UptrendQQQ→ PullbackIWM↑ UptrendRSP↑ Uptrend
Data Warnings
- Price panel is mixed-date; treat breadth as approximate until prices align.
Market Diagnostics
- 50d and 200d breadth have material disagreement; do not collapse them into one risk-on/off read.
Playbook Policy
Active portfolio exposure target settings.
value proxy leadership is strongest in current benchmark rows.
continuation tape with mixed breadth and selective risk budget.
Reversal permission follows continuation behavior; risk budget is selective.
Extended momentum needs broad, confident risk-on tape.
Use Alpha Rank and RS Rank together when regime and breadth are supportive.
Market Health & Breadth
- 20d EMA BreadthPercentage of active tickers trading above their 20-day Exponential Moving Average (short-term momentum).
- 328 / 618 (53.1%)
- 2 Closes Below 20d EMAPercentage of active tickers with 2 consecutive daily closes below their 20-day EMA (short-term weakness).
- 224 / 618 (36.2%)
- 50d SMA BreadthPercentage of active tickers trading above their 50-day Simple Moving Average (medium-term trend).
- 59.2%
- 200d SMA BreadthPercentage of active tickers trading above their 200-day Simple Moving Average (long-term structural trend).
- 61.4%
- Both 50d & 200dPercentage of active tickers trading above both their 50-day SMA and 200-day SMA.
- 279 / 617 (45.2%)
- 50d / 200d DisagreementPercentage of active tickers with conflicting trend directions (above 50d but below 200d, or vice versa).
- 187 / 617 (30.3%)
- Median 3m ReturnThe midpoint of 3-month trailing returns across the active coverage universe.
- 2.5%
- Return DispersionThe standard deviation or spread of returns across tickers, showing market rotation and polarization.
- 425.3%
Data Freshness
- Latest date
- 2026-07-21
- Stale rows
- 363 / 618 (58.7%)
- Oldest date
- 2026-07-02
ETF Trend Tape
| ETF | Role | State | 1m | 3m | Vs SPY | 20d | 50d | 200d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | Market Beta | Uptrend | 0.2% | 5.6% | 0.0% | Y | Y | Y |
| QQQ | Growth Beta | Pullback | -4.3% | 9.6% | +4.0% | 2d below | N | Y |
| IWM | Small Cap Risk | Uptrend | 0.3% | 6.9% | +1.3% | Y | Y | Y |
| RSP | Equal Weight Breadth | Uptrend | 1.3% | 4.4% | -1.2% | Y | Y | Y |
| VUG | Growth Style | Pullback | -1.0% | 4.9% | -0.7% | Y | N | Y |
| VTV | Value Style | Uptrend | 1.0% | 7.0% | +1.5% | Y | Y | Y |
| MTUM | Momentum Factor | Pullback | -7.1% | 15.0% | +9.4% | 2d below | N | Y |
| QUAL | Quality Factor | Uptrend | 1.0% | 5.6% | +0.0% | Y | Y | Y |
| USMV | Defensive Factor | Pullback | 2.5% | 1.9% | -3.7% | 2d below | Y | Y |
| SMH | Semiconductor Leadership | Pullback | -11.5% | 25.9% | +20.3% | 2d below | N | Y |
| IGV | Software Leadership | Downtrend | 3.1% | 6.4% | +0.8% | N | N | N |
| XLF | Financials Sector | Uptrend | 4.7% | 6.6% | +1.0% | Y | Y | Y |
| XLI | Industrials Sector | Pullback | -1.2% | 2.7% | -2.8% | 2d below | Y | Y |
| XLY | Discretionary Sector | Downtrend | -2.0% | -4.2% | -9.8% | 2d below | N | N |
| XLP | Staples Sector | Pullback | 0.9% | 2.0% | -3.6% | N | N | Y |
| XLV | Healthcare Sector | Uptrend | 7.3% | 8.7% | +3.1% | Y | Y | Y |
| XLU | Utilities Sector | Pullback | 0.4% | -1.8% | -7.4% | 2d below | Y | Y |
| XLE | Energy Sector | Uptrend | 8.8% | 6.2% | +0.6% | Y | Y | Y |
| HYG | Credit Risk | Downtrend | -0.4% | -1.2% | -6.7% | 2d below | N | N |
| LQD | Credit Quality | Downtrend | -2.0% | -2.9% | -8.5% | 2d below | N | N |
| TLT | Duration Risk Off | Downtrend | -3.6% | -3.9% | -9.5% | 2d below | N | N |
| IEF | Rates Context | Downtrend | -1.1% | -2.6% | -8.2% | 2d below | N | N |
Leading Groups
| Group | 3m | 50d | 200d | N |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semiconductors | 14.1% | 15.2% | 90.6% | 33 |
| Financials | 8.3% | 78.3% | 67.4% | 46 |
| Financial Services | 7.5% | 82.4% | 73.5% | 34 |
| Healthcare | 7.5% | 82.6% | 65.2% | 69 |
| Consumer Defensive | 6.5% | 74.3% | 57.1% | 35 |
Lagging Groups
| Group | 3m | 50d | 200d | N |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technology | -6.4% | 38.2% | 54.5% | 55 |
| Communication Services | -5.7% | 44.8% | 37.9% | 29 |
| Energy | -3.5% | 52.0% | 72.0% | 25 |
| Consumer Cyclical | -2.3% | 59.0% | 44.3% | 61 |
| Utilities | -2.1% | 67.6% | 73.5% | 34 |
Computed Labels
| Label | Value | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| Risk budget | Selective | - |
| Market risk | Risk On | - |
| Breadth state | Mixed | - |
| Continuation | Selective | continuation tape with mixed breadth and selective risk budget. |
| Reversal | Selective | Reversal permission follows continuation behavior; risk budget is selective. |
| Extended momentum | Selective | Extended momentum needs broad, confident risk-on tape. |
| Style | Value | value proxy leadership is strongest in current benchmark rows. |
| Trust | Selective Cross Check | Use Alpha Rank and RS Rank together when regime and breadth are supportive. |
Alpha Rank
Ranked by market RS. Core score remains visible as a secondary lens. · 10 shown · as of 2026-07-21 · filter: any RS.
Filters
| #Displayed row position. | Ticker | CoreCore: pure Alpha model score. Click to sort Core first; the default table order is RS first. | RSRS Rank: pure stock-vs-market relative strength percentile. Click to sort. | BusinessClick sector or industry to filter peers. Click again to clear that facet. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1↓-37 (prior: #97) | UMBFUMB Financial CorporationSector: Financial ServicesIndustry: Banks - RegionalOpen UMBF on Seeking Alpha in a new tab.52-Week Range Position: 90%. Current price location relative to the 52-week low (0%) and 52-week high (100%).UMB Financial CorporationFinancial ServicesBanks - RegionalCore 80.0RS 77.6 | 80.0 | 77.6 | UMB Financial CorporationFinancial ServicesBanks - Regional |
| 2↓-27 (prior: #119) | FITBFifth Third BancorpSector: Financial ServicesIndustry: Banks - RegionalOpen FITB on Seeking Alpha in a new tab.52-Week Range Position: 91%. Current price location relative to the 52-week low (0%) and 52-week high (100%).Fifth Third BancorpFinancial ServicesBanks - RegionalCore 39.9RS 75.7 | 39.9 | 75.7 | Fifth Third BancorpFinancial ServicesBanks - Regional |
| 3↓-9 (prior: #138) | MTBM&T Bank CorporationSector: Financial ServicesIndustry: Banks - RegionalOpen MTB on Seeking Alpha in a new tab.52-Week Range Position: 92%. Current price location relative to the 52-week low (0%) and 52-week high (100%).M&T Bank CorporationFinancial ServicesBanks - RegionalCore 30.0RS 75.5 | 30.0 | 75.5 | M&T Bank CorporationFinancial ServicesBanks - Regional |
| 4↓-6 (prior: #149) | USBU.S. BancorpSector: Financial ServicesIndustry: Banks - RegionalOpen USB on Seeking Alpha in a new tab.52-Week Range Position: 95%. Current price location relative to the 52-week low (0%) and 52-week high (100%).U.S. BancorpFinancial ServicesBanks - RegionalCore 66.9RS 74.3 | 66.9 | 74.3 | U.S. BancorpFinancial ServicesBanks - Regional |
| 5↓-24 (prior: #141) | CFGCitizens Financial Group, Inc.Sector: Financial ServicesIndustry: Banks - RegionalOpen CFG on Seeking Alpha in a new tab.52-Week Range Position: 91%. Current price location relative to the 52-week low (0%) and 52-week high (100%).Citizens Financial Group, Inc.Financial ServicesBanks - RegionalCore 47.3RS 72.7 | 47.3 | 72.7 | Citizens Financial Group, Inc.Financial ServicesBanks - Regional |
| 6↓-63 (prior: #135) | PNCThe PNC Financial Services Group, Inc.Sector: Financial ServicesIndustry: Banks - RegionalOpen PNC on Seeking Alpha in a new tab.52-Week Range Position: 92%. Current price location relative to the 52-week low (0%) and 52-week high (100%).The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc.Financial ServicesBanks - RegionalCore 16.9RS 67.3 | 16.9 | 67.3 | The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc.Financial ServicesBanks - Regional |
| 7newNew to list | RFRegions Financial CorporationSector: Financial ServicesIndustry: Banks - RegionalOpen RF on Seeking Alpha in a new tab.52-Week Range Position: 83%. Current price location relative to the 52-week low (0%) and 52-week high (100%).Regions Financial CorporationFinancial ServicesBanks - RegionalCore 38.1RS 64.1 | 38.1 | 64.1 | Regions Financial CorporationFinancial ServicesBanks - Regional |
| 8newNew to list | KEYKeyCorpSector: Financial ServicesIndustry: Banks - RegionalOpen KEY on Seeking Alpha in a new tab.52-Week Range Position: 85%. Current price location relative to the 52-week low (0%) and 52-week high (100%).KeyCorpFinancial ServicesBanks - RegionalCore 80.0RS 55.1 | 80.0 | 55.1 | KeyCorpFinancial ServicesBanks - Regional |
| 9newNew to list | HBANHuntington Bancshares IncorporatedSector: Financial ServicesIndustry: Banks - RegionalOpen HBAN on Seeking Alpha in a new tab.52-Week Range Position: 72%. Current price location relative to the 52-week low (0%) and 52-week high (100%).Huntington Bancshares IncorporatedFinancial ServicesBanks - RegionalCore 68.4RS 49.5 | 68.4 | 49.5 | Huntington Bancshares IncorporatedFinancial ServicesBanks - Regional |
| 10newNew to list | TFCTruist Financial CorporationSector: Financial ServicesIndustry: Banks - RegionalOpen TFC on Seeking Alpha in a new tab.52-Week Range Position: 69%. Current price location relative to the 52-week low (0%) and 52-week high (100%).Truist Financial CorporationFinancial ServicesBanks - RegionalCore 67.3RS 45.7 | 67.3 | 45.7 | Truist Financial CorporationFinancial ServicesBanks - Regional |