Mingdom Alpha
Market RegimeRisk Onbudget: Selective · breadth: Mixed · as of 2026-07-21SPY↑ UptrendQQQ→ PullbackIWM↑ UptrendRSP↑ Uptrend
Market Regime
Risk Onbudget: Selective · breadth: Mixed · as of 2026-07-21
SPY↑ UptrendQQQ→ PullbackIWM↑ UptrendRSP↑ Uptrend
Data Warnings
- Price panel is mixed-date; treat breadth as approximate until prices align.
Market Diagnostics
- 50d and 200d breadth have material disagreement; do not collapse them into one risk-on/off read.
Playbook Policy
Active portfolio exposure target settings.
value proxy leadership is strongest in current benchmark rows.
continuation tape with mixed breadth and selective risk budget.
Reversal permission follows continuation behavior; risk budget is selective.
Extended momentum needs broad, confident risk-on tape.
Use Alpha Rank and RS Rank together when regime and breadth are supportive.
Market Health & Breadth
- 20d EMA BreadthPercentage of active tickers trading above their 20-day Exponential Moving Average (short-term momentum).
- 328 / 618 (53.1%)
- 2 Closes Below 20d EMAPercentage of active tickers with 2 consecutive daily closes below their 20-day EMA (short-term weakness).
- 224 / 618 (36.2%)
- 50d SMA BreadthPercentage of active tickers trading above their 50-day Simple Moving Average (medium-term trend).
- 59.2%
- 200d SMA BreadthPercentage of active tickers trading above their 200-day Simple Moving Average (long-term structural trend).
- 61.4%
- Both 50d & 200dPercentage of active tickers trading above both their 50-day SMA and 200-day SMA.
- 279 / 617 (45.2%)
- 50d / 200d DisagreementPercentage of active tickers with conflicting trend directions (above 50d but below 200d, or vice versa).
- 187 / 617 (30.3%)
- Median 3m ReturnThe midpoint of 3-month trailing returns across the active coverage universe.
- 2.5%
- Return DispersionThe standard deviation or spread of returns across tickers, showing market rotation and polarization.
- 425.3%
Data Freshness
- Latest date
- 2026-07-21
- Stale rows
- 363 / 618 (58.7%)
- Oldest date
- 2026-07-02
ETF Trend Tape
| ETF | Role | State | 1m | 3m | Vs SPY | 20d | 50d | 200d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | Market Beta | Uptrend | 0.2% | 5.6% | 0.0% | Y | Y | Y |
| QQQ | Growth Beta | Pullback | -4.3% | 9.6% | +4.0% | 2d below | N | Y |
| IWM | Small Cap Risk | Uptrend | 0.3% | 6.9% | +1.3% | Y | Y | Y |
| RSP | Equal Weight Breadth | Uptrend | 1.3% | 4.4% | -1.2% | Y | Y | Y |
| VUG | Growth Style | Pullback | -1.0% | 4.9% | -0.7% | Y | N | Y |
| VTV | Value Style | Uptrend | 1.0% | 7.0% | +1.5% | Y | Y | Y |
| MTUM | Momentum Factor | Pullback | -7.1% | 15.0% | +9.4% | 2d below | N | Y |
| QUAL | Quality Factor | Uptrend | 1.0% | 5.6% | +0.0% | Y | Y | Y |
| USMV | Defensive Factor | Pullback | 2.5% | 1.9% | -3.7% | 2d below | Y | Y |
| SMH | Semiconductor Leadership | Pullback | -11.5% | 25.9% | +20.3% | 2d below | N | Y |
| IGV | Software Leadership | Downtrend | 3.1% | 6.4% | +0.8% | N | N | N |
| XLF | Financials Sector | Uptrend | 4.7% | 6.6% | +1.0% | Y | Y | Y |
| XLI | Industrials Sector | Pullback | -1.2% | 2.7% | -2.8% | 2d below | Y | Y |
| XLY | Discretionary Sector | Downtrend | -2.0% | -4.2% | -9.8% | 2d below | N | N |
| XLP | Staples Sector | Pullback | 0.9% | 2.0% | -3.6% | N | N | Y |
| XLV | Healthcare Sector | Uptrend | 7.3% | 8.7% | +3.1% | Y | Y | Y |
| XLU | Utilities Sector | Pullback | 0.4% | -1.8% | -7.4% | 2d below | Y | Y |
| XLE | Energy Sector | Uptrend | 8.8% | 6.2% | +0.6% | Y | Y | Y |
| HYG | Credit Risk | Downtrend | -0.4% | -1.2% | -6.7% | 2d below | N | N |
| LQD | Credit Quality | Downtrend | -2.0% | -2.9% | -8.5% | 2d below | N | N |
| TLT | Duration Risk Off | Downtrend | -3.6% | -3.9% | -9.5% | 2d below | N | N |
| IEF | Rates Context | Downtrend | -1.1% | -2.6% | -8.2% | 2d below | N | N |
Leading Groups
| Group | 3m | 50d | 200d | N |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semiconductors | 14.1% | 15.2% | 90.6% | 33 |
| Financials | 8.3% | 78.3% | 67.4% | 46 |
| Financial Services | 7.5% | 82.4% | 73.5% | 34 |
| Healthcare | 7.5% | 82.6% | 65.2% | 69 |
| Consumer Defensive | 6.5% | 74.3% | 57.1% | 35 |
Lagging Groups
| Group | 3m | 50d | 200d | N |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technology | -6.4% | 38.2% | 54.5% | 55 |
| Communication Services | -5.7% | 44.8% | 37.9% | 29 |
| Energy | -3.5% | 52.0% | 72.0% | 25 |
| Consumer Cyclical | -2.3% | 59.0% | 44.3% | 61 |
| Utilities | -2.1% | 67.6% | 73.5% | 34 |
Computed Labels
| Label | Value | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| Risk budget | Selective | - |
| Market risk | Risk On | - |
| Breadth state | Mixed | - |
| Continuation | Selective | continuation tape with mixed breadth and selective risk budget. |
| Reversal | Selective | Reversal permission follows continuation behavior; risk budget is selective. |
| Extended momentum | Selective | Extended momentum needs broad, confident risk-on tape. |
| Style | Value | value proxy leadership is strongest in current benchmark rows. |
| Trust | Selective Cross Check | Use Alpha Rank and RS Rank together when regime and breadth are supportive. |
Alpha Rank
Ranked by market RS. Core score remains visible as a secondary lens. · 11 shown · as of 2026-07-21 · filter: any RS.
Filters
| #Displayed row position. | Ticker | CoreCore: pure Alpha model score. Click to sort Core first; the default table order is RS first. | RSRS Rank: pure stock-vs-market relative strength percentile. Click to sort. | BusinessClick sector or industry to filter peers. Click again to clear that facet. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1↑+5 (prior: #67) | ADMArcher-Daniels-Midland CompanySector: Consumer DefensiveIndustry: Agricultural Farm ProductsOpen ADM on Seeking Alpha in a new tab.52-Week Range Position: 97%. Current price location relative to the 52-week low (0%) and 52-week high (100%).Archer-Daniels-Midland CompanyConsumer DefensiveAgricultural Farm ProductsCore 69.2RS 89.2 | 69.2 | 89.2 | Archer-Daniels-Midland CompanyConsumer DefensiveAgricultural Farm Products |
| 2newNew to list | HRLHormel Foods CorporationSector: Consumer DefensiveIndustry: Packaged FoodsOpen HRL on Seeking Alpha in a new tab.52-Week Range Position: 54%. Current price location relative to the 52-week low (0%) and 52-week high (100%).Hormel Foods CorporationConsumer DefensivePackaged FoodsCore 76.3RS 66.1 | 76.3 | 66.1 | Hormel Foods CorporationConsumer DefensivePackaged Foods |
| 3newNew to list | BGBunge Global S.A.Sector: Consumer DefensiveIndustry: Agricultural Farm ProductsOpen BG on Seeking Alpha in a new tab.52-Week Range Position: 78%. Current price location relative to the 52-week low (0%) and 52-week high (100%).Bunge Global S.A.Consumer DefensiveAgricultural Farm ProductsCore 80.0RS 55.3 | 80.0 | 55.3 | Bunge Global S.A.Consumer DefensiveAgricultural Farm Products |
| 4newNew to list | LWLamb Weston Holdings, Inc.Sector: Consumer DefensiveIndustry: Packaged FoodsOpen LW on Seeking Alpha in a new tab.52-Week Range Position: 33%. Current price location relative to the 52-week low (0%) and 52-week high (100%).Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.Consumer DefensivePackaged FoodsCore 71.5RS 55.0 | 71.5 | 55.0 | Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.Consumer DefensivePackaged Foods |
| 5newNew to list | SYYSysco CorporationSector: Consumer DefensiveIndustry: Food DistributionOpen SYY on Seeking Alpha in a new tab.52-Week Range Position: 55%. Current price location relative to the 52-week low (0%) and 52-week high (100%).Sysco CorporationConsumer DefensiveFood DistributionCore 69.9RS 52.3 | 69.9 | 52.3 | Sysco CorporationConsumer DefensiveFood Distribution |
| 6newNew to list | CAGConagra Brands, Inc.Sector: Consumer DefensiveIndustry: Packaged FoodsOpen CAG on Seeking Alpha in a new tab.52-Week Range Position: 30%. Current price location relative to the 52-week low (0%) and 52-week high (100%).Conagra Brands, Inc.Consumer DefensivePackaged FoodsCore 79.5RS 30.1 | 79.5 | 30.1 | Conagra Brands, Inc.Consumer DefensivePackaged Foods |
| 7newNew to list | TSNTyson Foods, Inc.Sector: Consumer DefensiveIndustry: Agricultural Farm ProductsOpen TSN on Seeking Alpha in a new tab.52-Week Range Position: 34%. Current price location relative to the 52-week low (0%) and 52-week high (100%).Tyson Foods, Inc.Consumer DefensiveAgricultural Farm ProductsCore 92.0RS 27.4 | 92.0 | 27.4 | Tyson Foods, Inc.Consumer DefensiveAgricultural Farm Products |
| 8newNew to list | DGDollar General CorporationSector: Consumer DefensiveIndustry: Discount StoresOpen DG on Seeking Alpha in a new tab.52-Week Range Position: 45%. Current price location relative to the 52-week low (0%) and 52-week high (100%).Dollar General CorporationConsumer DefensiveDiscount StoresCore 84.0RS 22.2 | 84.0 | 22.2 | Dollar General CorporationConsumer DefensiveDiscount Stores |
| 9newNew to list | MKCMcCormick & Company, IncorporatedSector: Consumer DefensiveIndustry: Packaged FoodsOpen MKC on Seeking Alpha in a new tab.52-Week Range Position: 26%. Current price location relative to the 52-week low (0%) and 52-week high (100%).McCormick & Company, IncorporatedConsumer DefensivePackaged FoodsCore 76.9RS 20.6 | 76.9 | 20.6 | McCormick & Company, IncorporatedConsumer DefensivePackaged Foods |
| 10newNew to list | KRThe Kroger Co.Sector: Consumer DefensiveIndustry: Grocery StoresOpen KR on Seeking Alpha in a new tab.52-Week Range Position: 16%. Current price location relative to the 52-week low (0%) and 52-week high (100%).The Kroger Co.Consumer DefensiveGrocery StoresCore 85.3RS 20.0 | 85.3 | 20.0 | The Kroger Co.Consumer DefensiveGrocery Stores |
| 11newNew to list | TAPMolson Coors Beverage CompanySector: Consumer DefensiveIndustry: Beverages - AlcoholicOpen TAP on Seeking Alpha in a new tab.52-Week Range Position: 17%. Current price location relative to the 52-week low (0%) and 52-week high (100%).Molson Coors Beverage CompanyConsumer DefensiveBeverages - AlcoholicCore 74.0RS 19.5 | 74.0 | 19.5 | Molson Coors Beverage CompanyConsumer DefensiveBeverages - Alcoholic |