Mingdom Alpha
Market RegimeRisk Onbudget: Selective · breadth: Mixed · as of 2026-07-21SPY↑ UptrendQQQ→ PullbackIWM↑ UptrendRSP↑ Uptrend
Market Regime
Risk Onbudget: Selective · breadth: Mixed · as of 2026-07-21
SPY↑ UptrendQQQ→ PullbackIWM↑ UptrendRSP↑ Uptrend
Data Warnings
- Price panel is mixed-date; treat breadth as approximate until prices align.
Market Diagnostics
- 50d and 200d breadth have material disagreement; do not collapse them into one risk-on/off read.
Playbook Policy
Active portfolio exposure target settings.
value proxy leadership is strongest in current benchmark rows.
continuation tape with mixed breadth and selective risk budget.
Reversal permission follows continuation behavior; risk budget is selective.
Extended momentum needs broad, confident risk-on tape.
Use Alpha Rank and RS Rank together when regime and breadth are supportive.
Market Health & Breadth
- 20d EMA BreadthPercentage of active tickers trading above their 20-day Exponential Moving Average (short-term momentum).
- 328 / 618 (53.1%)
- 2 Closes Below 20d EMAPercentage of active tickers with 2 consecutive daily closes below their 20-day EMA (short-term weakness).
- 224 / 618 (36.2%)
- 50d SMA BreadthPercentage of active tickers trading above their 50-day Simple Moving Average (medium-term trend).
- 59.2%
- 200d SMA BreadthPercentage of active tickers trading above their 200-day Simple Moving Average (long-term structural trend).
- 61.4%
- Both 50d & 200dPercentage of active tickers trading above both their 50-day SMA and 200-day SMA.
- 279 / 617 (45.2%)
- 50d / 200d DisagreementPercentage of active tickers with conflicting trend directions (above 50d but below 200d, or vice versa).
- 187 / 617 (30.3%)
- Median 3m ReturnThe midpoint of 3-month trailing returns across the active coverage universe.
- 2.5%
- Return DispersionThe standard deviation or spread of returns across tickers, showing market rotation and polarization.
- 425.3%
Data Freshness
- Latest date
- 2026-07-21
- Stale rows
- 363 / 618 (58.7%)
- Oldest date
- 2026-07-02
ETF Trend Tape
| ETF | Role | State | 1m | 3m | Vs SPY | 20d | 50d | 200d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | Market Beta | Uptrend | 0.2% | 5.6% | 0.0% | Y | Y | Y |
| QQQ | Growth Beta | Pullback | -4.3% | 9.6% | +4.0% | 2d below | N | Y |
| IWM | Small Cap Risk | Uptrend | 0.3% | 6.9% | +1.3% | Y | Y | Y |
| RSP | Equal Weight Breadth | Uptrend | 1.3% | 4.4% | -1.2% | Y | Y | Y |
| VUG | Growth Style | Pullback | -1.0% | 4.9% | -0.7% | Y | N | Y |
| VTV | Value Style | Uptrend | 1.0% | 7.0% | +1.5% | Y | Y | Y |
| MTUM | Momentum Factor | Pullback | -7.1% | 15.0% | +9.4% | 2d below | N | Y |
| QUAL | Quality Factor | Uptrend | 1.0% | 5.6% | +0.0% | Y | Y | Y |
| USMV | Defensive Factor | Pullback | 2.5% | 1.9% | -3.7% | 2d below | Y | Y |
| SMH | Semiconductor Leadership | Pullback | -11.5% | 25.9% | +20.3% | 2d below | N | Y |
| IGV | Software Leadership | Downtrend | 3.1% | 6.4% | +0.8% | N | N | N |
| XLF | Financials Sector | Uptrend | 4.7% | 6.6% | +1.0% | Y | Y | Y |
| XLI | Industrials Sector | Pullback | -1.2% | 2.7% | -2.8% | 2d below | Y | Y |
| XLY | Discretionary Sector | Downtrend | -2.0% | -4.2% | -9.8% | 2d below | N | N |
| XLP | Staples Sector | Pullback | 0.9% | 2.0% | -3.6% | N | N | Y |
| XLV | Healthcare Sector | Uptrend | 7.3% | 8.7% | +3.1% | Y | Y | Y |
| XLU | Utilities Sector | Pullback | 0.4% | -1.8% | -7.4% | 2d below | Y | Y |
| XLE | Energy Sector | Uptrend | 8.8% | 6.2% | +0.6% | Y | Y | Y |
| HYG | Credit Risk | Downtrend | -0.4% | -1.2% | -6.7% | 2d below | N | N |
| LQD | Credit Quality | Downtrend | -2.0% | -2.9% | -8.5% | 2d below | N | N |
| TLT | Duration Risk Off | Downtrend | -3.6% | -3.9% | -9.5% | 2d below | N | N |
| IEF | Rates Context | Downtrend | -1.1% | -2.6% | -8.2% | 2d below | N | N |
Leading Groups
| Group | 3m | 50d | 200d | N |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semiconductors | 14.1% | 15.2% | 90.6% | 33 |
| Financials | 8.3% | 78.3% | 67.4% | 46 |
| Financial Services | 7.5% | 82.4% | 73.5% | 34 |
| Healthcare | 7.5% | 82.6% | 65.2% | 69 |
| Consumer Defensive | 6.5% | 74.3% | 57.1% | 35 |
Lagging Groups
| Group | 3m | 50d | 200d | N |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Technology | -6.4% | 38.2% | 54.5% | 55 |
| Communication Services | -5.7% | 44.8% | 37.9% | 29 |
| Energy | -3.5% | 52.0% | 72.0% | 25 |
| Consumer Cyclical | -2.3% | 59.0% | 44.3% | 61 |
| Utilities | -2.1% | 67.6% | 73.5% | 34 |
Computed Labels
| Label | Value | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| Risk budget | Selective | - |
| Market risk | Risk On | - |
| Breadth state | Mixed | - |
| Continuation | Selective | continuation tape with mixed breadth and selective risk budget. |
| Reversal | Selective | Reversal permission follows continuation behavior; risk budget is selective. |
| Extended momentum | Selective | Extended momentum needs broad, confident risk-on tape. |
| Style | Value | value proxy leadership is strongest in current benchmark rows. |
| Trust | Selective Cross Check | Use Alpha Rank and RS Rank together when regime and breadth are supportive. |
Alpha Rank
Ranked by market RS. Core score remains visible as a secondary lens. · 8 shown · as of 2026-07-21 · filter: any RS.
Filters
| #Displayed row position. | Ticker | CoreCore: pure Alpha model score. Click to sort Core first; the default table order is RS first. | RSRS Rank: pure stock-vs-market relative strength percentile. Click to sort. | BusinessClick sector or industry to filter peers. Click again to clear that facet. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1↑+14 (prior: #35) | NBISNebius Group N.V.Sector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Internet Content & InformationOpen NBIS on Seeking Alpha in a new tab.52-Week Range Position: 67%. Current price location relative to the 52-week low (0%) and 52-week high (100%).Nebius Group N.V.Communication ServicesInternet Content & InformationCore 5.1RS 95.8 | 5.1 | 95.8 | Nebius Group N.V.Communication ServicesInternet Content & Information |
| 2newNew to list | GOOGLAlphabet Inc.Sector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Internet Content & InformationOpen GOOGL on Seeking Alpha in a new tab.52-Week Range Position: 72%. Current price location relative to the 52-week low (0%) and 52-week high (100%).Alphabet Inc.Communication ServicesInternet Content & InformationCore 2.8RS 49.8 | 2.8 | 49.8 | Alphabet Inc.Communication ServicesInternet Content & Information |
| 3newNew to list | METAMeta Platforms, Inc.Sector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Internet Content & InformationOpen META on Seeking Alpha in a new tab.52-Week Range Position: 45%. Current price location relative to the 52-week low (0%) and 52-week high (100%).Meta Platforms, Inc.Communication ServicesInternet Content & InformationCore 13.1RS 40.4 | 13.1 | 40.4 | Meta Platforms, Inc.Communication ServicesInternet Content & Information |
| 4newNew to list | RDDTReddit, Inc.Sector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Internet Content & InformationOpen RDDT on Seeking Alpha in a new tab.52-Week Range Position: 41%. Current price location relative to the 52-week low (0%) and 52-week high (100%).Reddit, Inc.Communication ServicesInternet Content & InformationCore 21.3RS 33.9 | 21.3 | 33.9 | Reddit, Inc.Communication ServicesInternet Content & Information |
| 5newNew to list | TCEHYTencent Holdings LimitedSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Internet Content & InformationOpen TCEHY on Seeking Alpha in a new tab.52-Week Range Position: 18%. Current price location relative to the 52-week low (0%) and 52-week high (100%).Tencent Holdings LimitedCommunication ServicesInternet Content & InformationCore 56.0RS 13.5 | 56.0 | 13.5 | Tencent Holdings LimitedCommunication ServicesInternet Content & Information |
| 6newNew to list | BIDUBaidu, Inc.Sector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Internet Content & InformationOpen BIDU on Seeking Alpha in a new tab.52-Week Range Position: 29%. Current price location relative to the 52-week low (0%) and 52-week high (100%).Baidu, Inc.Communication ServicesInternet Content & InformationCore 54.2RS 10.8 | 54.2 | 10.8 | Baidu, Inc.Communication ServicesInternet Content & Information |
| 7 | SNAPSnap Inc.Sector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Internet Content & InformationOpen SNAP on Seeking Alpha in a new tab.Snap Inc.Communication ServicesInternet Content & InformationCore 93.0RS - | 93.0 | - | Snap Inc.Communication ServicesInternet Content & Information |
| 8 | TMETencent Music Entertainment GroupSector: Communication ServicesIndustry: Internet Content & InformationOpen TME on Seeking Alpha in a new tab.Tencent Music Entertainment GroupCommunication ServicesInternet Content & InformationCore 57.6RS - | 57.6 | - | Tencent Music Entertainment GroupCommunication ServicesInternet Content & Information |